I think Irsay has been an OK owner. Walker's average dropback came with a league-low 7.6 yards to go for a first down which makes it even more appalling that he was only successful 10% of the time, worst of any qualifier this week. Give Mahomes credit for staying healthy, but he hasnt actually been better. This looks like a tank move and the roster is still constructed to win now. Thanks for suggestions, we'll definitely be working on ways to improve the digital edition in the future. Entirely. That includes conversions on five of his six carries on third down, the longest a 36-yard touchdown. It's the same projections so if the scoring system is the same, the rankings should be the same. In reply to Glad to see that Cousins by Will Allen. The book is jam-packed with their signature data (including game-charting stats), plus their usual stat-geeky essays, team and player perviews, and 2013 projections. How Philadelphia Eagles Took the Fight to Tennessee Titans, Why Cincinnati Bengals Are Kansas City's Worst Nightmare, Waiver Wire Week 14: Playoff Push Pickups, The Wild World of the 2022 Minnesota Vikings, Tyler Huntley, Justin Fields, and the QB Rushing Quandary, Week 13 DVOA Preview: Chiefs Slide, Cowboys Ambush, USC Falls Hard, TCU Makes Playoff Despite Loss, Burrow-to-Chase Returns; 49ers' Purdy Predicament, Sunday NFL Liveblog: Bengals, Chiefs Lead Loaded Schedule, TCU, USC Put Playoff Bids on the Line in Championship Week, All-32: Michael Gallup Set for Big Game Against Colts, Micah Parsons' DPOY Problem; Partying with the Broncos, How Bengals Beat Titans at Their Own Game, Breaking Down the Playoff Picture, from Eagles to Texans. There has been quite a rushing resurgence around the league in 2022. Josh Allen also qualifies for his nine-carry, 86-yard, two-touchdown day against the Jets. don't get me wrong they were delighted, but they still couldn't believe that he decided to throw there. Praise for The Outsiders "The Outsiders transformed young-adult fiction from a genre mostly about prom queens, football players and high school crushes to one that portrayed a darker, truer world." -- The New York Times "Taut with tension, filled with drama." -- The Chicago Tribune "[A] classic coming-of-age book." Whether or not he misses some time is still up in the air, though. And then Mixon took the field against Carolina. This is the most insane coaching change I have ever seen. 57% is insanely low. i'm a 15-yr buyer of almanac but first-time buyer of kubiak (thanks to fo+)silly question: why are there big ranking differences between the two? All the 'their record will prevent him from winning the award' talk is foolish to me- aren't they undefeated when he finishes a game and winless when he hasn't? and has seen what a good coaching staff and organization looks like. Football Outsiders ( FO) is a website started in July 2003 which focuses on advanced statistical analysis of the NFL. Mind you, just because he threw deep often doesn't mean he threw deep well. Not right now, but the last five years of data for each team are published in Football Outsiders Almanac. Everyone's excited about how Fields has taken off the last three weeks, but my question is what took them so long to include the designed runs as part of their offense. Bridgewater played one play against the Jets. by James-London. Stafford gains 39 DYAR due to opponent adjustments. One question; how much DYAR did Heinicke get, when the zebra threw a block on a Viking safety poised for an int., so Heinicke could get a 49 yard td pass? Football Outsiders Almanac 2009: The Essential Guide to the 2009 NFL and College Football Seasons: Schatz, Aaron, Alamar, Benjamin, Barnwell, Bill, Carroll, Will, Connelly, Bill, Farrar, Doug, Fremeau, Brian, Macey, Ned, McCormick, Sean, Moore, Bill: 9781448648450: Amazon.com: Books Books Sports & Outdoors Football (American) Buy new: $8.32 Eight of his runs gained 10-plus yards, the longest a 61-yard touchdown on third-and-5. Did NE cut down the RPO/PA heavy system they had last year after the coordinator swap? And nobody in our In reply to He had WR2s in KC, too. At some point in the offseason he started hedging his bets, saying of course Tua would do better. Preseason football, but real football nonetheless. Recent and Trending topics from Football Outsiders. Read reviews from world's largest community for readers. 2013 Nfhs Ihsa Exam Answers - delapac.com File Type PDF 2013 Nfhs Soccer Rules Exam Answers NFHS 2013-14 SOCCER EXAM PART 2 (ANSWERS) 2013 NFHS High. One of the other three will get the #1 seed in the AFC and thus be an automatic MVP finalist. We listed Mixon as one of the worst running backs in football in Week 1 and Week 3, at which point he was averaging only 2.8 yards per carry. With a couple weeks of training camp in the books league-wide, various outlets are laying out their predictions for the 32 teams. S. E. Hinton's traditional story of a boy who discovers himself on the outskirts of regular society remains as powerful today since it was the day it was initial published. are now the Colorado Rockies of the NFL. It was Rodgers' first three-interception game since Week 5 of 2017, and he has already thrown seven this season, the most he has thrown since 2016. Those subscriptions are now on sale through July 31, you get an annual subscription for just $1 per week for the entire year. When we took the best WR in the league and gave him to Tua and took him away from Mahomes, on the year Mahomes is still better than Tua. NFL Week 9 - The stars of Week 9 in the NFL were a trio of runners. Now, mind you, living in Philly -- if you offered me Mahomes or Allen for Hurts, I'd agree and be gone so fast I'd red-shift. That's not meant to throw any shade at Malik Willis(who really wasn't given a fair shot to play QB last week); but more the sad reality of life in the AFC South/a bit of a hat tip to Mike Vrable, who I really didn't think would be any good or even around by now. Also, one trend I might be seeing in the Vikings over the past couple weeks is improvement in pass defense, so I wanted some feel for how that oddball play may have had on the metrics in a small sample. Hurts last year was seen as having substantially improved on a team not much better than the 4-11-1 mess he was on as a rookie. Football Outsiders Almanac 2022: The Essential Guide to the 2022 NFL and College Football Seasons: Schatz, Aaron, Acosta, J.P., Clinton, Cale, Klassen, Derrik, Knowles, Bryan, McCown, Rivers, Pizzuta, Dan, Tanier, Mike, Verhei, Vincent, Weintraub, Robert: 9798840151822: Amazon.com: Books Skip to main content Hello Select your address Books The Miami offense looked so different without Tua. His one catch was a 24-yard gain on first-and-10. based on questions of intrinsic value and have always been about numbers. He's like a bizarro Jimmy G. Still seems to be pointing and shooting which would help explain why a QB with his profile would have such bad YAC numbers, even with a mediocre set of weapons. The Chicago scrambler's raw totals against Miami15 carries, 178 yards, an 11.9-yard average, and one touchdownare impressive enough. Throwing into triple coverage is a good indication that one has crossed the line from aggressive to foolish. Brandin Cooks went from Drew Brees to Tom Brady to Jared Goff to Deshaun Watson to Davis Mills, and you'd never know from his stats. Put it all together and Fields had 79 rushing DYAR. Summary . Wilson had the week's best DYAR on throws to receivers at or behind the line of scrimmage, going 6-of-7 for 28 yards and a touchdown. I'm different that way. thanks, In reply to almanac fantasy vs kubiak fantasy by almon. In reply to But then, Hill is playing by Aaron Brooks G. The Outsiders S. E. Hinton Penguin, May 15, 2012 - Young Adult Fiction - 208 pages 239 Reviews Reviews aren't verified, but Google checks for and removes fake content when it's identified 50. I think if Tua lands first across the board on the advanced metrics, he should win; the standings be damned. It was like Detroit and Chicago swapped rosters and no one noticed. The next time Mixon was stuffed, the score was 42-7 late in the third quarter, and Cincinnati's lead had grown to 42-7. Tua has more DYAR than Mahomes despite 120 fewer pass attempts, and FWIW Tuaalso has a slightly higher PFF grade than Mahomes. J.J. Cooper tackles Gary Pomerantz's Their Life's Work, a new book on the 1970's Steelers. In the print version, table 7 on page xxiv of the statistical toolbox: the table is labeled as Bears Rushing but Im pretty sure its listing the Panthers running backs. In reply to Realistically, he's a by Noahrk. had a bunch of turnovers in scoring range, which often left Goff trying and failing to dig the Lions out of poor field position. Aaron Schatz, founder of Football Outsiders, an indispensable resource for fans of advanced football statistics, has been consulting with NFL teams for years. After years and years of the reverse, don't bears fans want to enjoy good offense even if it came through a monkey's paw tradeoff? With our new low prices (currently just $1/week!) Exclusive Premium Content For Subscribers. Those two completions went for no gain on first-and-10 and 8 yards on second-and-20. Then you open up the play-by-play data and your jaw hits the floor. His final totals: 22 carries for 153 yards and a 7.0-yard average with a dozen first downs, including four touchdowns. Doug Farrar reviews the new pro football strategy book by Ron Jaworski and Greg Cosell, with a little help from one of the authors. Reich left, and the offense struggled afterwards: when Pederson tried to switch away from Wentz, there was backlash because the owner didn't trust that Pederson was actually the important piece of the '17 Super Bowl win. Do you have an ETA on when the book will be up on amazon.co.uk? : #MIAvsCHI on CBS pic.twitter.com/jFMAg0BeH7, Chicago Bears (@ChicagoBears) November 6, 2022, RotoRadar (@RotoRadar) November 6, 2022, JOE MIXON HAS FOUR FIRST HALF TOUCHDOWNSpic.twitter.com/fMDwimo7TC, PointsBet Sportsbook (@PointsBetUSA) November 6, 2022, for whoever is going against him in fantasy pic.twitter.com/E7C2STwAQR, 102 comments, Last at 10 Nov 2022, 8:15am. Terms of Use | Privacy Policy | Cookie Policy | Responsible Gaming, Joe Mixon, Justin Fields Rush into History Books, Support Football Outsiders' independent media and . In reply to Tua will fail in January by anthonytwotimes. Football Outsiders provides revolutionary, in-depth statistics you can't find anywhere else! They might be in first after this week, if the unimaginable happens with the Vikings beating the Bills. Four of Waddle's catches moved the sticks, the longest a gain of 26, and he added a fifth first down and 47 more yards on a DPI. 27 comments, Last at 20 Jul 2021, 10:22am. by Swjeppe. Of course, Fields is not the only quarterback from Week 9 of 2022 in that table. The most authoritative and innovative annual guide to both the NFL and college football is back for an all-new season with more cutting-edge statistical analysis, obsessive film study, and trademark humor. Former All Pac-10 Tackle The world, you must remember, is only just becoming literate. From a prediction-tracking standpoint, the real story of this season was the stunning about-face performance of Football Outsiders, who dominated the regular season basically from start to finish: Note: Average and Median Errors reflect the difference between projected and actual wins. Macs tendency to do that is exacerbating the two major weakness of the offense - pass pro, and the receivers being unable to create separation. $5.58. Full previews for all 32 NFL teams and the top 50 projected NCAA teams, plus over 500 player comments andKUBIAK fantasy football projections are all included. The good news is, you are also allowed to run the ball inside the opponents' 40. Samuel's totals include 11 rushing DYAR for his one carry for 16 yards. With numerous statistical measures that go far beyond standard NFL stats, Football Outsiders Almanac 2016 gives NFL fans the kind of sabermetric-like statistical analysis that revolutionized the fan's understanding of baseball. The defense looked decent against Trey Lance, Davis Mills, Daniel Jones/Tyrod Taylor, Carson Wentz, and Mac Jones/Bailey Zappe. Goff is in that spectrum. October 23, 2010, 8:17 pm ET 41. In reply to Where has this sudden by Kaepernicus. I hate doing this, because you can do it with literally any play in any game, but: The touchdown was worth 39 DYAR for Heinicke. The fact that it didn't implies (but obviously doesn't conclusively prove) that Tua is a significant part of the success. We have gotten so numb to QB rushing totals that this record-breaking performance has largely flown under the radar. Detroit Lions Receivers Key to Daily Fantasy. In reply to Mac Jones Slump by HitchikersPie. The Cardinals' offense will aim to surpass the Football Outsiders projections in 2021. He was successful on a league-best 70% of his dropbacks. He is also taking a lot more sacks with a very similar pressure rate. Each of Allgeier's 10 carries gained at least 2 yards. Either way Mac does not have the arm talent to be this inaccurate and continue starting in the NFL. I always thought it was unfortunate that Faulk was a decade or two early. And it hurt his team. May as well just use this as the open discussion thread. Football Outsiders Almanac 2015. Correlations are between projected and actual win percentages. They can barely hold off one game. Will Georgia's Balanced Attack Win Another Championship? Smith's average pass traveled only 3.0 yards beyond the line of scrimmage, shortest in the NFL in Week 9. The OC didn't matter, it was Peyton's offense. If Josh Allen can't go Sunday, The Kirkster's run of good fortune might continue. Mixon finishes with 92 rushing DYAR, 37 receiving DYAR, and a total of 129 combined DYARand that's without recording a single carry or target in the fourth quarter of Cincinnati's 42-21 win. Roll it into the 5 year extension and pull agent-speak to make it sound nice, but basically make it around Kyler or Allen's level. Schatz is also the lead writer, editor, and statistician on the book series Football Outsiders Almanac and writes for ESPN.com and ESPN The Magazine. That runs completely opposite to the tone of the above statement. Aaron Schatz (Editor) 4.51. At least the violence stayed on the field this time? I don't think Tanier's opinion of Tua is that low anymore. Week 13 Staff Picks: Is Chris Olave Best Bet for OROY? Only four quarterbacks have ever qualified in a full seasonwith a DVOA of 50.0% or higher: Dan Marino. About the author (2011) Aaron Schatz is the creator of FootballOutsiders.com and the proprietary NFL statistics within Football Outsiders Almanac, including DVOA, DYAR, Adjusted Line Yards, and. In reply to Playing Chicago by Otis Taylor89, The defense probably wasn't good to begin with and now it is abysmal. The Outsiders is usually a dramatic and long lasting function of fiction that laid the groundwork for the YA genre. But for the most part, he's given the braintrust a good amount of time to execute their vision. Football Outsiders has been a supporter of Chase Stuart for a while and Football Perspective from the beginning. He also gained 8 yards on a DPI. Inside his own 20-yard line, he went 2-of-7 for only 8 yards. No, he hasn't. In reply to And that spectrum is by theslothook. I seldom am curious about such things, but it ain't often you get such a swing in play value by having a zebra block a player. https://t.co/NkEdOUPmeJ, Vincent Verhei (@FO_VVerhei) November 7, 2022. And an MVP with Tyreek. Thats because Ive moved over to the Contributors section. Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, and Patrick Mahomes could all have a say in this race. You think Cptn Quirk can out-DYAR Case Keenum? If it were, we'd have to retroactively give all the MVP awards to Peyton Manning. In reply to Context matters. The NFL as a whole is averaging 4.5 yards per carry, which would be an all-time record, and the average team is running for over 120 yards per game for the first time since 1988. I would be shocked if he didn't regress at least a bit, but the simple fact is that he has outplayed pretty much everyone so far. Tua's having a nice season, but he's QBing for a 2nd place team, his numbers have suspiciously gone up a lot with Hill's arrival, and there are a few QBs who simply pass the eyeball test a lot better. But I never believe me." ;). Depends on whether Diggs starts pouting because of low targets, I suppose. which allows you to download from the tons of books that they feature. Mac's only potentially elite trait is his accuracy/touch. Hinton, first published in 1967 by Viking Press.Hinton was only 15 when she started writing the novel; however, she did most of the work when she was 16 and a junior in high school. Football Outsiders Almanac 2012 (ISBN 1478201526) Read more about this topic: Football Outsiders. If youre reading this blog, chances are you already know all about our friends at Football Outsiders and the terrific analysis they provide every year. I'm not insulting either Dungy or Polian. No onein the league is Kelce. Yeah, I completely don't get it. Cross-Post: Help Wanted! If they are too lengthy to list here you can email them to fo-support@edjsports.com. Ben Alamar provides his take on the state of sports analytics in Sports Analytics: A Guide for Coaches, Managers, and Other Decision Makers. In the 1920s he would have been an active player. There is no way they get the same value for Nelson/Buckner in the off-season. The novel tells the story of Ponyboy Curtis and his struggles with right and wrong in a society in which he believes that he is an outsider. Where has this sudden inaccuracy come from though? This is the most insane coaching change I have ever seen. Now Im curious what the line on the game was. I mean, maybe, but it was literally one week ago to the day that he was saying the Dolphins should balk at handing him a long-term contract. In reply to Open discussion thread? He also gained 32 more yards and another first down on a DPI. Thirteen of Fields' 15 carries picked up first downs, including seven conversions in eight carries on third or fourth down. I'm not really worried about how bad the defense gets (temporarilyI want to see some improvement starting next year) because they were going to decline no matter what. Tua has more DYAR than Mahomes after this week, but let's be reasonable. Regardless, he was the week's worst passer on throws to running backs (6-of-7 for 45 yards with a pick-six) and out of a no-huddle (3-of-5 for 1 yard, singular, with zero successful plays). Doug Farrar reviews the new pro football strategy book by Ron Jaworski and Greg Cosell, with a little help from one of the authors. It's not impossible, but it doesn't seem likely right now. The next time Mixon was stuffed, the score was 42-7 late in the third quarter. There is something between Tua is MVP and TUA is horrible and being carried by the supporting cast. If you need more help with theAlmanacor FO+, please visit theFootball Outsiders Help Centeror e-mail us at fo-support@edjsports.com. How Philadelphia Eagles Took the Fight to Tennessee Titans FO + All-32: Michael Gallup Set for Big Game Against Colts How Bengals Beat Titans at Their Own Game More Film Study Latest News from Around the League Thirteen of Fields' 15 carries picked up first downs, including seven conversions in eight carries on third or fourth down. The previous regime left the team in a really bad spot that was going to take years to crawl out of, and also traded up to draft Fields on the way out the door. And that one successful play was a 5-yard gain on second-and-8Walker failed to throw for a single first down. But geez, the AFC South is a tragedy. Obviously, they do have similarish plays where a penalty reverses an INT or TD, causing a huge outcome swing. What a crazy week of football. Joe Mixon had the best running back game in 16 years. It wasn't all Aaron Rodgers' fault. In reply to I don't think Tanier's by Noahrk, I don't think Tanier's opinion of Tua is that low anymore. It's also written with a knowing dry wit that gets under the skin of America's most popular spectator sport. A Thinking Man's Guide to Pro Football, Paul Zimmerman, 1970 and 1984. That's more value on the ground than Kaepernick, Daunte Culpepper, Robert Griffin, Russell Wilson, Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, Steve McNair, Donovan McNabb, Steve Young, or Randall Cunningham ever had in a game. Hiring Saturday is like something out of the 1920s barnstorming NFL days. McCown did, in fact, do it in '13, in Week 12. So it'sextremelyunfair to say "hey, when he got a top tier receiver, his numbers got better" because Mahomes hasalways had one. The . Cousins was the week's worst passer from under center (6-of-9 for 32 yards, with three completions that lost yardage and a sack) and on throws to receivers at or behind the line of scrimmage (4-of-9 for a net LOSS of 8 yards, with no completions that actually gained yardage), but the best on throws to his left (7-of-8 for 138 yards and a touchdown, plus a 14-yard DPI). I mean,lessthan zippo. They could have very easily focused resources on the offense to help lift Fields up, and now he would be lifting up those additions with his recent level of play. ), "Real" / sortable tables (rather than images). It's not that the contrast between the starter and the replacement decides MVP, it's that looking at how a replacement performed can help give a little insight into the relative responsibility of the various players for the team performance. But thank you for pointing that out. Sure I agree. On Page xvi, Pythagorean Projection, Daryl Morey is no longer general manager of the Houston Rockets. I mean, my second- oldest brother, Soda, who is sixteen-going-on- seventeen, never cracks a book at all, and my oldest brother, Darrel, who we call Darry, works too long and hard to be interested in a story or drawing a, picture, so I'm not like them. Finally, he failed to convert a single third or fourth down, going 2-of-8 for 19 yards with a half-dozen sacks and a pick-six. We know you are here for the FREE analytics, not the ads. Stafford, Donald, Kupp: Bang, Marry, or Dump? Mahomes was the week's best passer on third/fourth downs, going 9-of-15 for 128 yards with seven conversions, including a touchdown, plus two sacks. The end of the Almanac includes an Acknowledgments section. He only completed one of his seven deep balls, and even that one completiona 19-yard gain on first-and-20failed to pick up a first down. Especially when a ton of yall were saying there was basically no difference. MVPs are not entirely(or even remotely?) What I'm saying is that Peyton completely changed the entire dynamics of that organization. Oh, I'm not trying to say Tua is suddenly a top 3 QB going forward or anything. He was also the week's worst passer on throws to tight ends (9-of-11 for 89 yards and two interceptions) and down the middle of the field (6-of-11 for 59 yards with two interceptions). Jones didn't have a lot of luck on second downs, when he went 9-of-12 for 38 yards with one sack and only one first down: a 3-yard touchdown to Rhamondre Stevenson. That's OK, though, because he could always do things like this: Lawrence loses 48 DYAR to opponent adjustments. I do think that Fields' recent play helped nudge them to trade Quinn and Smith, as I don't think most fans really care about losing shootouts if Fields is a highlight reel and they get the bonus of staying high in the draft next year. 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